Full-time

Upcoming fixtures (Matchweek 9, 31 Oct–01 Nov)

Bournemouth vs Leeds

49%
25%
26%
Bournemouth winDrawLeeds win

Most likely score 1–1 · Expected goals 1.60–1.09 · Over 2.5: 50% · Both score: 53%

Scores first: Bournemouth 55% · none 7% · Leeds 38%

Expected corners 6.1–4.1 (total 10.2) · Over 9.5 corners: 54%

Aston Villa vs Fulham

48%
26%
26%
Aston Villa winDrawFulham win

Most likely score 1–1 · Expected goals 1.50–1.02 · Over 2.5: 46% · Both score: 50%

Scores first: Aston Villa 55% · none 8% · Fulham 37%

Expected corners 5.5–4.5 (total 10.0) · Over 9.5 corners: 51%

Brentford vs Nottingham Forest

48%
26%
26%
Brentford winDrawNottingham Forest win

Most likely score 1–1 · Expected goals 1.52–1.05 · Over 2.5: 47% · Both score: 51%

Scores first: Brentford 55% · none 8% · Nottingham Forest 37%

Expected corners 5.0–4.7 (total 9.7) · Over 9.5 corners: 49%

Coventry vs Sunderland

43%
26%
31%
Coventry winDrawSunderland win

Most likely score 1–1 · Expected goals 1.41–1.16 · Over 2.5: 47% · Both score: 52%

Scores first: Coventry 51% · none 7% · Sunderland 42%

Expected corners 5.3–4.0 (total 9.2) · Over 9.5 corners: 44%

Hull vs Ipswich

60%
21%
19%
Hull winDrawIpswich win

Most likely score 2–1 · Expected goals 2.02–1.05 · Over 2.5: 59% · Both score: 56%

Scores first: Hull 63% · none 5% · Ipswich 32%

Expected corners 5.9–3.8 (total 9.8) · Over 9.5 corners: 49%

Newcastle vs Everton

46%
26%
28%
Newcastle winDrawEverton win

Most likely score 1–1 · Expected goals 1.46–1.08 · Over 2.5: 47% · Both score: 51%

Scores first: Newcastle 53% · none 8% · Everton 39%

Expected corners 6.5–4.0 (total 10.5) · Over 9.5 corners: 56%

Tottenham vs Crystal Palace

47%
25%
28%
Tottenham winDrawCrystal Palace win

Most likely score 1–1 · Expected goals 1.55–1.12 · Over 2.5: 50% · Both score: 53%

Scores first: Tottenham 54% · none 7% · Crystal Palace 39%

Expected corners 6.7–3.7 (total 10.3) · Over 9.5 corners: 55%

Chelsea vs Manchester United

44%
23%
33%
Chelsea winDrawManchester United win

Most likely score 1–1 · Expected goals 1.71–1.45 · Over 2.5: 61% · Both score: 63%

Scores first: Chelsea 52% · none 4% · Manchester United 44%

Expected corners 6.2–4.2 (total 10.4) · Over 9.5 corners: 55%

Manchester City vs Brighton

56%
22%
22%
Manchester City winDrawBrighton win

Most likely score 1–1 · Expected goals 1.94–1.13 · Over 2.5: 59% · Both score: 58%

Scores first: Manchester City 60% · none 5% · Brighton 35%

Expected corners 6.6–3.3 (total 9.9) · Over 9.5 corners: 50%

Liverpool vs Arsenal

28%
27%
45%
Liverpool winDrawArsenal win

Most likely score 1–1 · Expected goals 1.04–1.40 · Over 2.5: 44% · Both score: 49%

Scores first: Liverpool 39% · none 9% · Arsenal 52%

Expected corners 4.6–4.1 (total 8.7) · Over 9.5 corners: 38%

League table
#TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester City87012091121
2Arsenal8701135821
3Brighton85122371616
4Liverpool8431118315
5Chelsea84131715213
6Brentford8251149511
7Leeds825196311
8Newcastle83231214-211
9Aston Villa8323912-311
10Hull824298110
11Everton824289-110
12Ipswich83141216-410
13Bournemouth82331213-19
14Tottenham8233810-29
15Fulham8224810-28
16Manchester United81431013-37
17Crystal Palace8215919-107
18Nottingham Forest8134610-46
19Coventry8206615-96
20Sunderland8125614-85

Blue: Champions League places. Orange: Europa League place. Red: relegation places. Zones are approximate.

Predictor

Enter how each side has been scoring and conceding. The model turns that into win, draw and loss probabilities and likely scorelines.

League:

Home team

Away team

Blends each team’s goals per game with the league average, more so when few games are played. Applies when you pick a team from the list. Premier League teams use the rating model instead.

Install as an app. On iPhone: Share, then Add to Home Screen. On Android: browser menu, then Install app or Add to Home screen. It opens full screen and remembers your last inputs and predictions on that device.

This is a statistical estimate (a Poisson goals model) built from the numbers shown in the boxes. For the Premier League these come from a rating model fitted on past results. It allows for injuries but ignores lineups, tactics and luck, so treat it as a guide, not a guarantee. Results are only as good as your inputs: use recent averages from a reliable stats site.