Full-time
Upcoming fixtures (Matchweek 9, 31 Oct–01 Nov)
Bournemouth vs Leeds
Most likely score 1–1 · Expected goals 1.60–1.09 · Over 2.5: 50% · Both score: 53%
Scores first: Bournemouth 55% · none 7% · Leeds 38%
Expected corners 6.1–4.1 (total 10.2) · Over 9.5 corners: 54%
Aston Villa vs Fulham
Most likely score 1–1 · Expected goals 1.50–1.02 · Over 2.5: 46% · Both score: 50%
Scores first: Aston Villa 55% · none 8% · Fulham 37%
Expected corners 5.5–4.5 (total 10.0) · Over 9.5 corners: 51%
Brentford vs Nottingham Forest
Most likely score 1–1 · Expected goals 1.52–1.05 · Over 2.5: 47% · Both score: 51%
Scores first: Brentford 55% · none 8% · Nottingham Forest 37%
Expected corners 5.0–4.7 (total 9.7) · Over 9.5 corners: 49%
Coventry vs Sunderland
Most likely score 1–1 · Expected goals 1.41–1.16 · Over 2.5: 47% · Both score: 52%
Scores first: Coventry 51% · none 7% · Sunderland 42%
Expected corners 5.3–4.0 (total 9.2) · Over 9.5 corners: 44%
Hull vs Ipswich
Most likely score 2–1 · Expected goals 2.02–1.05 · Over 2.5: 59% · Both score: 56%
Scores first: Hull 63% · none 5% · Ipswich 32%
Expected corners 5.9–3.8 (total 9.8) · Over 9.5 corners: 49%
Newcastle vs Everton
Most likely score 1–1 · Expected goals 1.46–1.08 · Over 2.5: 47% · Both score: 51%
Scores first: Newcastle 53% · none 8% · Everton 39%
Expected corners 6.5–4.0 (total 10.5) · Over 9.5 corners: 56%
Tottenham vs Crystal Palace
Most likely score 1–1 · Expected goals 1.55–1.12 · Over 2.5: 50% · Both score: 53%
Scores first: Tottenham 54% · none 7% · Crystal Palace 39%
Expected corners 6.7–3.7 (total 10.3) · Over 9.5 corners: 55%
Chelsea vs Manchester United
Most likely score 1–1 · Expected goals 1.71–1.45 · Over 2.5: 61% · Both score: 63%
Scores first: Chelsea 52% · none 4% · Manchester United 44%
Expected corners 6.2–4.2 (total 10.4) · Over 9.5 corners: 55%
Manchester City vs Brighton
Most likely score 1–1 · Expected goals 1.94–1.13 · Over 2.5: 59% · Both score: 58%
Scores first: Manchester City 60% · none 5% · Brighton 35%
Expected corners 6.6–3.3 (total 9.9) · Over 9.5 corners: 50%
Liverpool vs Arsenal
Most likely score 1–1 · Expected goals 1.04–1.40 · Over 2.5: 44% · Both score: 49%
Scores first: Liverpool 39% · none 9% · Arsenal 52%
Expected corners 4.6–4.1 (total 8.7) · Over 9.5 corners: 38%
League table
Blue: Champions League places. Orange: Europa League place. Red: relegation places. Zones are approximate.
Probabilities
Who scores first
Assumes goals arrive at a steady rate through the match, so it follows the expected goals above.
Corners
Team news
Most likely scorelines
Scoreline probabilities
My predictions
Competitions
Update this league's table
Copy the table from a stats site and paste it below. Each row needs the team name, then played, won, drawn, lost, goals for and goals against.
League table
Blue: Champions League places. Orange: Europa League place. Red: relegation places. Zones are approximate and only shown for the top leagues.
Injuries
Upcoming fixtures
Predictor
Enter how each side has been scoring and conceding. The model turns that into win, draw and loss probabilities and likely scorelines.
League:
Home team
Away team
Blends each team’s goals per game with the league average, more so when few games are played. Applies when you pick a team from the list. Premier League teams use the rating model instead.
This is a statistical estimate (a Poisson goals model) built from the numbers shown in the boxes. For the Premier League these come from a rating model fitted on past results. It allows for injuries but ignores lineups, tactics and luck, so treat it as a guide, not a guarantee. Results are only as good as your inputs: use recent averages from a reliable stats site.